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Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Obsolète21 juin 26, 02:49 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Falcon 9/Heavy launches will SpaceX conduct in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsWhich Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRègles
In 2022, there were 178 successful orbital launches; SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets accounted for 61 of them, or 34% of successful launches.
- In 2023, Falcon rockets accounted for 96 out of 211, or 45%.
- In 2024, it was 133 out of 255:@/EvanDaniel/will-spacex-conduct-at-least-half-o
- In 2025, it was 165 out of 317.
- In 2026 so far, it is 72 out of 140.
- Will SpaceX be responsible for over half of successful orbital launches in 2027?