Prévision communautaire actuelle
11 or 12 81.4%+24.3ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+58.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète13 oct. 26, 01:42 UTC1 nov. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
Manifold MarketsWill 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
How many Falcon-family launches (Falcon 9 + Falcon Heavy) will SpaceX conduct in October 2026, counting by UTC launch date?
- **Resolution source:** the 2026 table on Wikipedia's "List of Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches), read on or after November 1, 2026.
- Cross-checked against Jonathan McDowell's launch log (planet4589.org) if the two disagree.
- **What counts:** every Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy launch attempt that leaves the pad with a UTC date from October 1 to October 31, 2026, success or failure.
- Scrubs, aborts before liftoff, static fires and Starship flights do not count.
- A Falcon Heavy counts as one launch.
