Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueAmérique latine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.5%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète22 mai 26, 23:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 01:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
KalshiWill the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands before 2027?
FutuurWill Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
Manifold MarketsUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
PolymarketWhat year will the last Argentine Peso be printed?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United States formally recognises the Falkland Islands as sovereign Argentine territory.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market will close at 03:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.