UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
1.4% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 4%+0.0%
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
460,4 €
Liquidité
18,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.1% / 5.8%
Spread
87.1%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+0.6%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
27 avr. 26, 22:0331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes4%
Tendance du volume
$5242 juil.18j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
President of Venezuela at the end of 2026
532,9 €Nicolás Maduro: 0.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
136,8 €December: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
93,3 €December 31: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
4,6 €Delcy Rodríguez: 94%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
0 €Oui: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
0 €Oui: 29%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
- Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
- The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.