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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 4%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

89,8 €

Liquidité

10,8 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

3.1% / 4.9%

Spread

58.1%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+0.1%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

27 avr. 26, 22:0631 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes4%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
  • Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
  • A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
  • The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.