KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
160,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
3 sept. 26, 23:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A definitive official announcement made before the deadline qualifies even if recognition takes effect later.
- A statement that only acknowledges Argentina's claim, reviews U.S. policy, supports negotiations, recognizes de facto U.K. administration, opposes the U.K. without recognizing Argentina, or concerns practical cooperation or resources does NOT qualify.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the US agrees to or announces recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.