Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74.3%
Prévisionnistes
119
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète7 mars 22, 03:55 UTC1 janv. 00, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?
Manifold MarketsWill the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine
- Resolves once it's confirmed beyond a doubt that it does, or we've explored the solar system to an extensive enough degree that we couldn't possibly have missed it.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- 101,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,5 k €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Does Planet Nine exist? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Does Planet Nine exist? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Does Planet Nine exist? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Does Planet Nine exist? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Nine