Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.2%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
5 mai 25, 04:30 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hypothetical Planet Nine is officially named "Hades" upon its confirmed discovery.
- The official naming must be recognized by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) or an equivalent authoritative body.
- If Planet Nine is discovered and given a different name, or if it remains undiscovered by the market's closing date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Planet Nine is a theoretical ninth planet in the outer Solar System, proposed to explain the unusual clustering of certain trans-Neptunian objects' orbits.
- Its existence remains unconfirmed, and no official name has been assigned.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- 101,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,5 k €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: