Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
One-OffSpace13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.3%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète30 janv. 23, 22:33 UTC1 janv. 40, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Floating or flying "rovers" will also count, such as would potentially be useful on Venus or Jupiter.
- In order to qualify as a "rover", it must be capable of moving arbitrary distances and have a long-term power source such as solar panels or an RTEG.
- A short term battery-powered craft doesn't count, nor does a stationary lander.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume total
- 101,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,5 k €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2040.
- Comment Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Floating or flying "rovers" will also count, such as would potentially be useful on Venus or Jupiter.