By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
IAOne-Off3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 80.3%
Prévisionnistes
86
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète19 déc. 22, 20:32 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.
- We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant overall the AI is.
- Individual examples that would cause this market to resolve YES: - All (or the overwhelming majority) of assets are AI generated -> YES - All game mechanics are AI generated -> YES - All the story / dialogue elements are AI generated in a visual novel -> YES
- At the end of 2026 if this market closes and no game has met the critera, this market will resolve NO.
- What counts as a game?
- I am fleshing out two main requirements: 1.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.