Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 22:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketRègles
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that questions about resolution should be directed to the Metaculus question, as this market resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Où [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur.