Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 22:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Roblox's age verification system before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill people get blackmailed due to UK's age verification law before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Discord Cancel Age Verification Rollout
Manifold MarketsIf Discord rolls out global age verification requirements, will the age verification data be breached in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRègles
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that questions about resolution should be directed to the Metaculus question, as this market resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
