(5X multiplied) Will there be a 48 hour government shutdown before 2027?
ÉconomieOne-OffPolitique américainePolitique1mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleShutdown 2 46.3%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète27 août 26, 20:07 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
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PolymarketGovernment shutdown by which date?
PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a government shutdown before January 2027?
Manifold MarketsConditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market uses a nonstandard mechanism that multiplies the odds of the underlying event by 5x.
- Please read the full description before trading.
- For fairness, and because of the nonstandard mechanism, I will not trade on any market in this Set.
- The reason I made this mechanism is because I noticed that due to the multiplier mechanism other multiplied odds markets tend to have their results N/A, which reverts all trades on the market, this means there is no reward for trading information even if the market does resolve correctly.
- This way all 5 of the markets should always have the same odds, and for one of them trades on it will not revert.
- There is no mechanism to force trading on all 5 markets, which means they can (but shouldn't) separate.