Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle>=$750 98.9%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
14 nov. 25, 04:32 UTC1 oct. 26, 07:00 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Steam Frame under $750?
Manifold MarketsSteam Frame VR headset release date?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRègles
What will be the Steam Frame VR headset's official launch price?
- Context: Valve has not announced an official price but stated it will be cheaper than the $999 Valve Index full kit (https://www.theverge.com/news/818041/valve-steam-frame-vr-headsets-comparison).
- Resolution: This market resolves to the price range that matches the listed price for the 256gb Steam Frame in the US, tax-exclusive: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steamframe.
- The market will resolve as soon as a price is announced.
- If there is a launch sale, the market will resolve to the full, regular price.
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the price of the full kit (headset + controllers), not just the headset alone.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range ?
- Manifold Markets cote >=$750 à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range sera-t-il résolu ?
- 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment 256gb Steam Frame Launch Price Range est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What will be the Steam Frame VR headset's official launch price?