Probabilité implicite actuelle
Other 50%En tête parmi 7 options
Other 50%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
21 janv. 26, 18:14 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2027 french presidential election
Manifold MarketsFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round.
- If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 45%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 48%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Marine Le Pen 59%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 41%
