Probabilité implicite actuelle
Other 50%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
21 janv. 26, 18:141 janv. 28, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
- If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round.
- If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Marine Le Pen 32% · 4 plateformes · bande de 5 pt
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 26%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 32%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Next French presidential election winner? · Marine Le Pen 37%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Marine Le Pen 44%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,9 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 160,2 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next French Presidential Election ?
- Limitless cote Other à 50% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Next French Presidential Election sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next French Presidential Election doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Next French Presidential Election est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : the named outcome · the named outcome · Édouard Philippe · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other. <p>The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- Où Next French Presidential Election est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt.