LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 03:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
August 31 50%
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
25 août 26, 13:201 oct. 26, 3:59
Tendances
Règles
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour September 30 est de 10%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 40 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm September 30 10% · 2 plateformes · 40 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
Marchés ouverts
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 402,7 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,1 k €
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
- Hilal+5.5pt62.1%
- Draw (Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)-1.5pt20.4%
- Ahli-4.0pt17.5%
POLYMARKETAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club - More Markets
- O/U 0.5+0.6pt97%
- Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5+3.5pt91%
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5+33.0pt86%
+30 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Hilal vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Hilal+7.0pt63.7%
- Tie19.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-4.0pt16.7%
- Volume total
- 201,3 k €
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel closes its airspace by which date? ?
- Limitless cote August 31 à 50% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel closes its airspace by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Israel closes its airspace by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Israel closes its airspace by which date? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.