KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 06:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 3.0% 0%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
10.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
3 sept. 26, 01:00 UTC5 janv. 35, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiRègles
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2034.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Marchés ouverts
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 90,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 358,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 548,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,7 k €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 310,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 3.0% à 0% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 doit être résolu le 5 janvier 2035.
- Comment US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.