KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 26 sept. 2026, 00:21 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 54%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
45.0% / 46.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
25 sept. 26, 16:34 UTC2 oct. 26, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItMidterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average is above 37.7% at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:VoteHub
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-4.0pt62.4%
- No change+3.0pt36.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8%
- Volume total
- 32,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 508,1 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.5pt8.1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,6 M €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+3.0pt61%
- Ken Paxton-4.0pt39%
- Volume total
- 12,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 376 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.0pt80%
- December 31+1.2pt65%
- November 30+0.5pt49%
+20 résultats de plus
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Minnesota Senate winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2) ?
- Kalshi cote No à 54% au 26 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2) doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump's VoteHub approval polling average is above 37.7% at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.