KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.5 to 38.7 21.3%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,1 k €
Liquidité
2,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
25 sept. 26, 16:34 UTC2 oct. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Non
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictItMidterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRègles
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.2 and 38.4% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.5 and 38.7% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.8pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 917,1 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 198,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep61%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-0.1pt8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,8 M €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+3.0pt62%
- Ken Paxton-5.0pt38%
- Volume total
- 12,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen38.4%
- Édouard Philippe24.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 121 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.4pt92%
- Republican Party-0.5pt8%
- Volume total
- 32,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 371,5 k €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Maine Senate winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 38.5 to 38.7 à 21.3% au 26 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on October 02, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.