Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
11.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Florida 36.5%+11.0ptEn tête parmi 20 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
139,6 k €
Liquidité
113,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
23 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC3 janv. 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Election CommissionMassachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections DivisionDelaware Department of ElectionsOregon Secretary of State, Elections DivisionRhode Island Board of ElectionsColorado Secretary of StateIllinois State Board of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsNew Mexico Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNew Jersey Division of ElectionsVirginia Department of ElectionsMinnesota Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateGeorgia Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsOhio Secretary of Statethe Florida Division of ElectionsAlaska Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of State
- A state's 2024 margin is Kamala Harris's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Donald Trump's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Trump won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Republican.
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Florida à 36.5% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Massachusetts is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.