KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 34% 76%En tête parmi 7 options
Above 34% 76%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidité
8,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
24 sept. 26, 21:00 UTC6 nov. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll.
- If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.