KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Claude 95%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Claude 95%+3.0ptQualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert
2,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
28 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC5 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
KalshiTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
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KalshiAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
If Gemini is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Claude
- If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If Gemini is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dola
- If Dola is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.