KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above $1.84 trillion 94%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
595,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
8 sept. 26, 13:30 UTC5 févr. 27, 18:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiAuto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026
KalshiAre Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsWill the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsFed decision in Sep 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is the named outcome, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve
- The Underlying is the Student Loans memo item in the Federal Reserve’s Student Loans and Motor Vehicle Loans historical table, reported in millions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted.
- For resolution, the reported value will be converted to trillions of dollars by dividing by 1,000,000.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 543,5 k €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US student loan debt at end of 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Above $1.84 trillion à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US student loan debt at end of 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US student loan debt at end of 2026 doit être résolu le 5 février 2027.
- Comment US student loan debt at end of 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is the named outcome, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes.