KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jan 1, 2029 61%Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
637,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
9 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Brazilian Chief of Staff?
PolymarketUS Govt Sanctions Keir Starmer chief of staff?
Manifold MarketsWill the current IDF spokesperson, Daniel Hagari, be nominated for the position of Chief of Staff of the IDF?
Manifold MarketsWill Stephen Miller leave the White House before 2 Jan 2027?
Manifold MarketsMax Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Stephen MillerThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPoliticoFinancial TimesMSNBCNBCABCCBSCNBCABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleBBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role he holds does not count. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Stephen Miller will cease to be White House Chief of Staff. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces he will leave) as White House Chief of Staff before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.