KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: At least 20 (99%)
Résolu: 23 juin 2026, 14:34
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
At least 20
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
—
Probabilité implicite actuelleAt least 20 99%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
23,4 k €
Liquidité
180,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 jours
Obsolète15 juin 26, 17:157 juil. 26, 16:45
Chronologie des Probabilités
At least 2099%
At least 601%
At least 802%
1%
2%
99%
98%
99%
99%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· At least 20
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 99% | — | 23,4 k € | 180,4 k € | il y a 21 jours | |
 Polymarket75% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 3,8 k € | 0 € | il y a 20 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
0.5 ptsFermés
+0.7pt100%
+9.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
+1 résultats de plus
17 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total3,7 M €
Volume 24h3,8 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$26.6k2 juil.6j de données7 juil.
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.