KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 70%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
42 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
410,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 43 minutes
8 juil. 26, 0:001 oct. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 59,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 247,7 k €
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,8 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 7,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 43,9 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 résultats de plus
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 70% au 31 août 2026.
- Quand When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and the named outcome. then the market resolves to Yes.