KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 71%En tête parmi 7 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 71%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
886,3 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
8 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 13:39 UTC
Tendances
Before Jan 1, 202871%
Before Jul 1, 202762%
Before Oct 1, 202761%
Before Apr 1, 202756%
Before Feb 1, 202738%
Before Jan 1, 202723%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
KalshiWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump nominate someone bizarre to the Supreme Court?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump nominate Peter Thiel to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States during Trump II?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
- Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes.
