KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 1730K 99%En tête parmi 11 options
At least 1730K 99%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert
43,8 €
Intérêt ouvert faibleÉcart
24.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
1 oct. 26, 16:30 UTC8 oct. 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
KalshiUS Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 8, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 15, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRègles
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 26, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week. The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 1730K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1660K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1660K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1680K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1690K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1710K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1710K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1760K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1760K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1750K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1750K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1670K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1670K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1700K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1700K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1720K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1720K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1740K
- If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 26, 2026 is at least 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.