KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleMichelle Bolsonaro 7%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
7 juil. 26, 23:003 oct. 28, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Michelle Bolsonaro7%
Marchés Associés
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
11 k €Tarcísio de Freitas: 94%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lula to finish his presidential term?
5,8 k €Oui: 98%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
5,2 k €Flávio Bolsonaro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
4 k €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brazil Presidential election winner?
4 k €Romeu Zema: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
3,1 k €Oui: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority (or whatever threshold Brazil requires to avoid a runoff), and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
- A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Brazil certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first.
- Official certification is not required for resolution.
- This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
- If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.