KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,1 €
Liquidité
8,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
7 juil. 26, 23:00 UTC3 oct. 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItWho will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRègles
If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
- If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? ?
- Kalshi cote Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? doit être résolu le 3 octobre 2028.
- Comment Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.