Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Other 19%+5.8ptEn tête parmi 17 options
Other 19%+5.8ptPrévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 24, 01:37 UTC6 janv. 31, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazilian presidential election second round be annulled?
Manifold MarketsWill the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.
- This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
- If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "the named outcome".
- I will not bet on this market.