Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin America1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète2 mai 24, 13:02 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.
- A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment.
- Will the result of the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 presidential elections?
- The market resolves to YES if the results of both elections mimic each other, i.e., if a left-wing, right-wing, or centrist candidate is elected in both.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Related article:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.