PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Flávio Bolsonaro 52%En tête parmi 3 options
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: Who will participate in at least one televised Brazilian presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2026 presidential election in Brazil.
- Should no such election be held in 2026, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume total
- 957,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ?
- PredictIt cote Flávio Bolsonaro à 52% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2026 presidential election in Brazil.
- Où Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.