Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionAmérique latine4j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
12 janv. 26, 01:01 UTC28 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the Brazilian presidential runoff on October 25, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
