Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Lula to finish his presidential term? ?

Futuur cote Yes à 97% au 25 octobre 2026.

Quand Lula to finish his presidential term? sera-t-il résolu ?

Lula to finish his presidential term? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.

FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiées

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Oui 97%

Qualité du marché

31 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

5,3 €

Liquidité

306,4 €

Faible liquidité

Traders

104

Commentaires

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Règles

Luís Inácio Lula da Silva's term as President of Brazil covers 4 years beginning on December 1st, 2023, and ending on December 31st, 2026.

If he does not finish his term – be it due to impeachment, disease, death, renouncing, having his mandate declared invalid by the judiciary authorities, or any other reason – this market will resolve to "No".
If Congress passes an amendment to the constitution modifying the length of upcoming presidential terms, and that alters Lula's term as well, this market will be canceled and active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.