Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
PolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecineÉlectionAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 97%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète25 avr. 23, 18:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurWill Lula finish his fourth term as President of Brasil?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of Brazil's Senate be from the PL?
FutuurCOND. Who will publicly congratulate/acknowledge Lula as the winner of the Brazil election before the end of October?
Manifold MarketsRègles
From Futuur:
- Luís Inácio Lula da Silva's term as President of Brazil covers 4 years beginning on [January] 1st, 2023, and ending on December 31st, 2026.
- If he does not finish his term – be it due to impeachment, disease, death, renouncing, having his mandate declared invalid by the judiciary authorities, or any other reason – this market will resolve to "No".
- If Congress passes an amendment to the constitution modifying the length of upcoming presidential terms, and that alters Lula's term as well, this market will be canceled and active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.
- [Fixed typo to correct month]
- This market will resolve to match Futuur's resolution.
