Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 83.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard26 oct. 26, 19:05 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
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Manifold MarketsLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurWill Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?
Manifold MarketsGoiás EC vs. CR Brasil
PolymarketRègles
Lula was just reelected for an unexpected fourth term as President of Brasil.
- This market resolves YES if he ends his fourth term on January 6th 2031 and vacates office in a normal, democratic process.
- It resolves to NO if, prior to the constitutional end of his fourth term, Lula permanently leaves office for any reason, including but not limited to:
- Impeachment and removal by the Brazilian National Congress;
- Resignation or voluntary stepping down;
- Permanent removal or incapacitation due to illness or medical declaration under the provisions of the Brazilian Constitution;
