Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 78%
Oui 78%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
5
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Yoweri Museveni's son succeed him as President of Uganda?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This event predicts whether Yoweri Museveni will remain in office as President of Uganda through the day the 2031 Ugandan presidential election takes place.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the Government of Uganda and the Electoral Commission of Uganda confirming who holds the presidency and the official date of the 2031 election.
- If Yoweri Museveni remains President of Uganda through the day the 2031 election is held, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the 2031 election is suspended for political reasons, this market will resolve based on whether Museveni is President of Uganda on February 1, 2031.
- If official sources are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.
