Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.8%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 juin 23, 05:53 UTC2 janv. 27, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurBrazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRègles
Resolves to NO if he does not run
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to NO if he does not run