Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latineCriminalité et justice2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Non 85%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
10
Commentaires
1
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Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
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PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether any minister serving in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration will be arrested at any time during calendar year 2026.
- For this market, arrest means being formally detained by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether the individual is still in office at the time of arrest.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by Brazilian judicial or law enforcement authorities.
- If any minister from Lula’s administration is formally arrested during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count.
