KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 2% 89%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC4 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
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Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Ronaldo Caiado's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) ?
- Kalshi cote At least 2% à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.