KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 37% 88%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
1 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC4 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
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KalshiWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) ?
- Kalshi cote At least 37% à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2027.
- Comment Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.