Alaska Senate election margin of victory
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaineÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20266mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Mary Peltola, 3-6% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Mary Peltola, 3-6% 75%En tête parmi 10 options
Mary Peltola, 3-6% 75%Qualité du marché
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
7,5 k €
Intérêt ouvert
180,1 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Mary Peltola, 3-6%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
1 juin 26, 18:00 UTC2 juin 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Mary Peltola, 3-6%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Kalshi2026 Alaska Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
Règlement via:State of Alaska
Règles de chaque résultat
- Mary Peltola, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Mary Peltola, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Mary Peltola, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Dan Sullivan, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Sullivan will be summed. If Dan Sullivan wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Dan Sullivan, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Sullivan will be summed. If Dan Sullivan wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Mary Peltola, 9-12%
- If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Mary Peltola, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mary Peltola runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mary Peltola will be summed. If Mary Peltola wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Dan Sullivan, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Sullivan will be summed. If Dan Sullivan wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Dan Sullivan, 9-12%
- If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Sullivan will be summed. If Dan Sullivan wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
- Dan Sullivan, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: the margin shall be calculated using the results from the final round of tabulation. "Dan Sullivan" refers to Daniel S. Sullivan, the incumbent Senator. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Dan Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Dan Sullivan will be summed. If Dan Sullivan wins the election, the margin will be positive.…
