KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
9.0% / 16.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 juin 26, 20:18 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
If legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Examples include the American Leadership in AI Act and Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 132,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 322,4 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.