Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.5%
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14
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète27 juin 25, 18:19 UTC3 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
KalshiSenate passes Clarity Act by which date?
PolymarketHIRE Act passes by 2026
Manifold MarketsCircuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will a federal law that preempts state-level AI regulation pass by the end of this Congress (i.e. January 3, 2027)?
- I intend to take a broad view on what "preemption" means.
- For instance:
- This question resolves YES if a law passes that penalizes states for passing or enforcing regulations on AI, even if it does not ban states from doing so.
- This question resolves YES if only some kinds of AI regulations get preempted (so long as the legislation preempts AI regulation in particular, as opposed to preempting some other class of state-level regulation that just so happens to preempt some kinds of AI regulation as well).
- For example, the Lummis bill has a narrow preemption clause that preempts enforcement of state laws against developers under certain narrow circumstances (see page 9, line 18 here).