Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 22:17 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 53%
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15
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
29 mars 26, 14:55 UTC15 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US pass federal legislation with the purpose of increasing the country's TFR by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any G7 country pass a mandatory AI-generated content labeling law before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsFederal AI preemption passes by January 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Gov. Hochul sign New York's data center moratorium (S10642/A11560) into law by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
KalshiComprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria (strict):
- Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31 23:59:59 ET, the U.S. President signs into law a federal statute where AI is a primary subject.
- Executive orders, agency guidance, draft bills, committee approvals, or state laws do NOT count.
- If no qualifying federal AI statute is signed by deadline, resolves NO.
- Primary sources:
- Congress.gov final bill status