GeminiDonnées vérifiées limitéesProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore January 01, 2027 51%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
50.0% / 52.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
8 avr. 26, 19:472 janv. 27, 4:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before January 01, 202751%
Comparer les plateformes· Before January 01, 2027
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global83% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 44% | — | 1,6 k € | 164,9 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| GeminiCette pageLa plus active | Moyenne | 51% | — | 2,1 k € | 0 € | il y a 17 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
1.0 pts5mo
-1.0pt43.6%
+4.0pt16.8%
+0.5pt12.9%
+4 résultats de plus
77 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total123,2 k €
Volume 24h1,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.