GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2028 5.5%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
174,2 €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
4 mars 26, 11:48 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiRègles
NASA lands on the moon?
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
- Outcome verified from NASA.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa92a4182002340a6ac95acf878f1991f?alt=media&token=8a40042a-95e9-44e9-a6f8-3c358d80cc13&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If an announcement indicates that any manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
SpaceLIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes58.5%
- No41.5%
- Volume total
- 287,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 60,2 k €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7-1.0pt93%
- Above 8-12.0pt65%
- Above 9+5.0pt7%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 363,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 58,1 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-5.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+6.0pt43%
- Before Mar 1, 202729%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic88.1%
- Google-0.2pt7.9%
- Meta-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.1pt99%
- Google+0.3pt1%
- Meta-0.1pt0%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- 0+1.0pt45.3%
- 1-8.5pt29.5%
- 2-0.5pt17.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NASA lands on the moon? ?
- Gemini cote Before 2028 à 6% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand NASA lands on the moon? sera-t-il résolu ?
- NASA lands on the moon? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment NASA lands on the moon? est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : NASA lands on the moon?