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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPolíticaGeopolítica6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 11%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

56,3 €

Liquidez

15,7 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-4.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

5 ene 26, 19:1931 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes11%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,968.51+2.66%SolanaSOL$65.39+2.08%EthereumETH$1,661.66+2.03%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.85%HyperliquidHYPE$55.99+0.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.85%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.