Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 89.9%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado24 ene 25, 17:46 UTC2 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people.
- Will any such major world leader call for a global pause on AI development/progress before the end of 2027? The pause would not need to be absolute to qualify, but a pause on certain use cases (eg, weaponry or surveillance) would not suffice.
- I will not bet on this market.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027??
- Está previsto que Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people.