Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
Política de EE. UU.One-OffPolíticaAmérica LatinaGeopolítica2m
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Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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December 31 · —
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December 31 4%Líder entre 3 opciones
December 31 4%Calidad del mercado
18 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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13,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
4,7 mil US$
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December 31Spread
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Comentarios
23
Cambio 7d
-1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado18 may 26, 14:12 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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- 5
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- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
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Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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PredictItReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
