Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPolíticaLatin AmericaGeopolítica3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 4%-1.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
882,2 €
Liquidez
20,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
23
Cambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
18 may 26, 14:12 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raul Castro is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Raul Castro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Raul Castro, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Raul Castro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Raul Castro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Raul Castro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
