Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by which date?
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Datos del 25 oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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18 may 26, 14:12 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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Profundidad de mercado · December 31
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
- Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify.
- A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
- Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
