Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82.2%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 43 minutos
22 nov 25, 17:01 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketRaul Castro in USA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Raúl Castro be taken into US custody by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBrazil Presidential election winner?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.