Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 82.2%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado22 nov 25, 17:01 UTC1 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Raúl Castro, born June 3, 1931, dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be confirmed through major news outlets reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if he remains alive through December 31, 2026.
- Raúl Castro served as President of Cuba between 2008 and 2018 and announced his retirement at the Eighth Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba in April 2021.
- The retired general is 94 years old as of October 2025.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Raul Castro dies before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Raul Castro dies before 2027??
- Está previsto que Raul Castro dies before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Raul Castro dies before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria