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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolítica18d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 99%
Calidad del mercado

100 / 100

Alta calidad
Volumen 24h

26 mil €

Liquidez

163,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

98.5% / 98.6%

Spread

0.1%

Spread estrecho
Cambio 7d

+0.4%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 minutos

13 ene 26, 21:1730 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes99%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions are met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile) that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions.
  • Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,689.27+2.30%EthereumETH$1,651.80+1.64%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.64%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.72%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$595.41+1.71%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskBitcoin recedes to $63,000 as Iran-Israel trade strikes and Korean stocks crashCoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.News

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions are met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile) that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions.
  • Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.